Morgan Stanley
US banks lose appetite for Treasuries as G-Sibs turn to trading book
Two-year surge in non-trading USTs plateaus as HFT bonds tick up
Credit derivatives surge to nine-year high at top US banks
$1.35 trillion notional added as banks ramp up CDS activity
US banks diverge from global peers on OTC clearing
Clearing rates fall in US as UK, Europe and Canada push higher
Morgan Stanley marks biggest risk category swing in 2025 G-Sib test
Substitutability overtakes complexity at US bank for first time
Equity VAR hovering near four-year high at US banks
Gauges of stock market risk rise 36% in just one year
US G-Sibs post record secured finance flows in LCR
Q3 spike continues long-term shift toward secured funding and lending in liquidity stress scenario
US G-Sibs diverge on cashflow volatility
Maturity mismatch add-on hits peak at two banks and trough at two others
Morgan Stanley set for biggest reset under softened eSLR
Bank’s leverage utilisation to fall from over 90% to 64% under new buffer
CVA capital charges – the gorilla in the mist
The behaviour of CVA risk weights at US banks in 2020 hints at the impact of the Basel III endgame
Record $95bn in equities sits with US banks as OTC margin
Stocks on par with US Treasuries in top dealers’ collateral trove
US G-Sibs rediscover appetite for less-liquid HQLAs
Aggregate eligible Level 2A assets rise to $110bn while median LCR falls to record low
Ditching Fed’s method 2 could unlock $112bn for top US banks
JPM and BofA could see largest capital gains if US G-Sib surcharge approach dropped, amid speculation of a framework overhaul
People: BNY taps Nasdaq CRO for enterprise risk, Hoornweg steers StanChart CIB solo, and more
Latest job changes across the industry
Talking Heads 2025: Who will buy Trump’s big, beautiful bonds?
Treasury issuance and hedge fund risks vex macro heavyweights
US banks’ cash holdings jump $79 billion in Q2
Cash reserves up 4%, in biggest rise since 2023
Morgan Stanley SCB cut unlocks $4.2bn after rare Fed appeal win
Bank’s buffer falls 170bp, widening average cut across US banks subject to the regime to 66bp
Morgan Stanley sees the elephants in the room
Talking Heads 2025: Hedge fund crowding means macro markets have fatter tails, argues fixed income co-head Jakob Horder
US banks’ OTC derivatives climb to new highs amid tariff woes
Notionals up more than 7% in largest Q2 jump on record
US banks see record relief in stress capital buffers
Average buffer falls 62bp amid strong stress test showing
US banks notch most VAR overshoots since pandemic
Dealers’ gauges underestimated trading inventory price swings on 34 occasions during Q2
Foreign banks see steeper CET1 declines in US and EU stress tests
Strong starting capital buffers at overseas subsidiaries eroded by outsized hits