Moody's launches LossCalc

Moody’s Risk Management Services (MRMS) claims that its latest product, LossCalc, is the first risk management tool to predict loss-given default (LGD) for investors in the event of a company’s bankruptcy.

MRMS, a subsidiary of Moody’s Investors Service, has evolved its historical LGD analysis into a predictive tool by adding data about individual companies, industry trends and macroeconomic factors to the LGD’s historical recovery rates.

LossCalc expresses the LGD as a percentage, and provides percentages for 10 different debt instruments, covering differing categories of seniority for corporate loans, bonds and preferred equity.

By multiplying LossCalc’s result by the probability of that company

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