Journal of Energy Markets

Risk.net

Modeling natgas intramonth spot (daily or “cash”) price movements

Ehud I. Ronn

ABSTRACT

This paper presents a specific modeling relationship between spot (day-ahead, or "cash" prices) and the prompt-month futures contract in the natural gas (natgas) market. Under the mean-reverting model considered here, the paper documents the seasonally dependent comovement between spot and futures prices, presents both ex ante and ex post measures of the pricing bias and derives theoretical and empirical results for the valuation of intramonth natgas derivative structures.


Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Risk.net? View our subscription options

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Risk.net account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here