Journal of Credit Risk
ISSN:
1744-6619 (print)
1755-9723 (online)
Editor-in-chief: Linda Allen and Jens Hilscher
About this journal
With the adoption of machine learning and artificial intelligence in financial institutions, credit analysis methodologies and applications are rapidly evolving.
The Journal of Credit Risk is at the forefront in tackling the many issues and challenges posed by these novel technologies both in and out of periods of financial crisis. Topics include fintech, liquidity risk and the connection to credit risk, the valuation and hedging of credit products, and the promotion of greater understanding in the area of credit risk theory and practice.
The Journal of Credit Risk considers submissions in the form of research papers and technical reports on, but not limited to, the following topics.
- Modeling and management of portfolio credit risk.
- Recent advances in parameterizing credit risk models: default probability estimation, copulas and credit risk correlation, recoveries and loss given default, collateral valuation, loss distributions and extreme events.
- The pricing and hedging of credit derivatives.
- Structured credit products and securitizations, eg, collateralized debt obligations, synthetic securitizations, credit baskets, etc.
- Machine learning and artificial intelligence.
- Credit risk implications of blockchain, crypto currencies and fintech firms.
- Measuring, managing and hedging counterparty credit risk.
- Credit risk transfer techniques.
- Liquidity risk and extreme credit events.
- Regulatory issues, such as Basel II and III, internal ratings systems, credit-scoring techniques and credit risk capital adequacy.
Abstracting and Indexing: Scopus; Web of Science - Social Science Index; EconLit; Excellence Research Australia; Econbiz; and Cabell’s Directory
Journal Metrics:
Journal Impact Factor: 0.880
5-Year Impact Factor: 1.045
CiteScore: 1.6
Latest papers
Climate-policy-relevant sectors and credit risk
This paper explores the relationship between banks exposed to climate-policy-relevant sectors and credit risk, finding that banks exposed to higher carbon emitting sectors are subject to greater credit risk than those exposed to less carbon emitting…
Dynamic class-imbalanced financial distress prediction based on case-based reasoning integrated with time weighting and resampling
The authors put forward a dynamic class-imbalanced CBR FDP model which is shown, using data from Chinese listed companies, to outperform static and dynamic CBR FDP models without resampling or time weighting.
Calibration alternatives to logistic regression and their potential for transferring the statistical dispersion of discriminatory power into uncertainties in probabilities of default
This paper compares four calibration approaches to linear logistic regression in credit risk estimation and proposes two new single-parameter families of differentiable functions as candidates for this regression.
Dynamic initial margin estimation based on quantiles of Johnson distributions
The authors compare JLSMC DIM estimates with those produced by two other methods, finding that the JLSMC algorithm is accurate and efficient, producing results comparable with nested Monte Carlo with an order of magnitude less computational effort.
Estimating correlation parameters in credit portfolio models under time-varying and nonhomogeneous default probabilities
This paper proposes new maximum likelihood estimation methods that offer greater flexibility than current methods and can account for finite portfolio sizes, scarce default data and time varying, nonhomogeneous default probabilities.
Sovereign probabilities of default in the euro area
This paper decomposes credit default swap spreads of euro area members into their risk premium and default risk elements and forecast one year probabilities of default.
Risks of long-term auto loans
The authors investigate the borrower risk factors, delinquency rates, yield curves, and interest rates of long-term auto loans.
An effective credit rating method for corporate entities using machine learning
The authors propose a new method to design credit risk rating models for corporate entities using a meta-algorithm which exploits information embedded in expert-assigned credit ratings to rank customers.
Stressing of migration matrixes for International Financial Reporting Standard 9 and Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process calculations
This paper demonstrates that correlation estimates are sensitive to model assumptions and estimation methodology by comparing three methods used to stress rating transition matrixes.
Generalized additive modeling of the credit risk of Korean personal bank loans
The authors demonstrate a nonlinear impact of loan and borrower characteristics when applying a GAM framework to personal loans taken from a Korean bank.
Stressed distance to default and default risk
The authors propose a stressed version of distance to default to measure time-varying corporate default risk in the event of a systematic stress scenario.
A three-factor hazard rate model for single-name credit default swap pricing
The authors propose a reduced-form model in which the evolution of the risk-neutral hazard rate is driven by three risk factors.
Repo haircuts and economic capital: a theory of repo pricing
The author proposes a repo haircut model that will identify capital for repo default risk as the main driver of repo spreads and allow investors to settle at an optimal combination of the haircut and repo rate.
Merton’s model with recovery risk
By adding a correlated risk driver to Merton's model for corporate bond pricing, the authors model the empirically observed recovery risk premium.
How a credit run affects asset correlation
This paper analyzes how soaring demand in the lending market shortly before a financial crisis can affect one of the main parameters in the internal ratings-based approach: the asset correlation.
The loss optimization of loan recovery decision times using forecast cashflows
In this paper, a theoretical method is empirically illustrated in finding the best time to forsake a loan such that the overall credit loss is minimized.
On comprehensive balance sheet stress testing and net interest income risk attribution
In this paper the authors propose a framework for granular-level stressed net interest income calculation and profit-and-loss risk attribution.
A structural credit risk model based on purchase order information
This paper proposes a credit risk model based on purchase order information to address the deficiencies of monitoring methods that use only financial statements.
Bank-sourced transition matrixes: are banks’ internal credit risk estimates Markovian?
This study explores banks’ internal credit risk estimates and the associated banksourced transition matrixes.
Covid-19 and the credit cycle: 2020 revisited and 2021 outlook
This study continues the author’s examination and forecasts as to the impact of Covid-19 on the US credit cycle after one and a half years since the pandemic first began.