Opinion/Risk management
Lessons from a decade of top 10 op risks
Constants and changes in Risk.net’s annual rankings spotlight common gaps in op risk management
Credit data: more trouble in the oil and gas pipeline
US self-sufficiency in oil could be bad news for shale producers
Op risk data: forex rigging fines bloat bank losses
Citi, RBS, JP hit for total €800m in penalties; plus Aussie bank misconduct probe. Data by ORX News
Operational resilience means learning from failure
Firms and regulators could share data on mistakes, says Garp’s Jo Paisley
Not random, and not a forest: black-box ML turns white
Bayesian analysis can replace forest with a single, powerful tree, writes UBS’s Giuseppe Nuti
Op risk data: Chinese regulators levy record fines
Also: top losses feature two frauds at Russia banks and AML provisions at Nordea. Data by ORX News
Credit data: worrying trends in sovereign risk
All signs point to a more volatile environment for sovereign credit risk
SA-CCR may need more fundamental fixes
Quants propose tweaks to improve Basel counterparty credit risk framework
Don’t fear the clearer
Wider use of CCPs not systemic threat – but participants do face hard-to-measure risks
Remembering the range accrual bloodbath
Flatter US yield curve spurs demand for a product with a painful history
Op risk data: Europe’s AML drive follows Danske and ING slips
Also: top five losses include mortgage penalty for Citi and reporting fines for Goldman, UBS. Data by ORX News
Will the Nasdaq default spur CVA for CCPs?
Quant proposes model to calculate bank credit risk exposure to CCP
Credit data: UK banks hold firm as Brexit looms
The credit status of UK banks remains unchanged, but other industries have seen significant deterioration
Op risk capital: looking back in anger
Top 10 op risks survey shows industry has sights set on the horizon, even when regulators are looking backwards
Op risk data: losses focus attention on bank resilience
Also: StanChart’s control fail fines, plus three losses in Russia. Data by ORX News
Nasdaq auction failure ignites anti-clearing backlash
CCP members wary of illiquid risks
Credit data: a new PD story for Brazil and Mexico?
One has been sliding, the other stable, but the stage appears to be set for a break from those trends
Could machine learning improve CVA and IM calculations?
Banks have built ways to calculate CVA more quickly, but neural networks could offer more accurate method
Aussie banks: a right Royal mess
Misconduct probe sparks board changes and bout of introspection at Big 4
Credit data: falling default risk for China’s banks
Economic data may be relatively gloomy, but default probabilities for lenders fell sharply last year
Op risk data: $1.5bn subprime hit for GE Capital
ED&F Man’s commodities loss; cyber events spiral in 2018. Data by ORX News
Op risk data: JP fined $135m over depository receipts
Top five losses, plus review of Barclays whistleblower fine. Data by ORX News
Does credit risk need an expected shortfall-style revamp?
Quants propose tail risk-sensitive measure for counterparty credit risk
Teach history to avoid mistakes of yesterday’s quants
Quant grads should be taught follies of LTCM, Gaussian copula and London Whale, writes UBS’s Gordon Lee