US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested

Crowdsourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results

This is the third in’s series of crowdsourced scenario generation exercises. You can view the results of the first and second surveys here.

It’s Monday, November 9, a week after the polls have closed on the most divisive US election in living memory. With all votes counted – and recounted multiple times in the largest swing states – Joe Biden has won. But Donald Trump says he’s going nowhere, calling fraud on the postal votes that swung the key states Biden’s way, and is unleashing a

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Calibrating interest rate curves for a new era

Dmitry Pugachevsky, director of research at Quantifi, explores why building an accurate and robust interest rate curve has considerable implications for a broad range of financial operations – from setting benchmark rates to managing risk – and hinges on…

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