Features/Strategy
Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to produce a wealth of investment opportunities in the years ahead. Hedge fund managers are split on how to capture the growth as shorting is impossible in most markets....
From currency trades to European financials to crude oil production, hedge fund managers have found extraordinary value in a wide variety of trades over 2012 despite challenging market conditions.
As Basel III is implemented, banks will be forced to meet new capital and liquidity rules. Hedge funds could profit from trades that capitalise on the banks' need to restructure their balance sheets.
This handy guide reviews the various steps banks are taking to improve their risk management techniques, looking at the benefits and pitfalls of each one.
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Commodity hedge funds need to move beyond fundamentals and get to grips with macro factors and liquidity flows. Many have underestimated the ‘financialisation’ of commodity markets.
Research on how investors are protecting themselves from tail risk events shows a preference for managed futures/CTAs. There is also reluctance to use single hedge fund strategies as protection.
Value can be found in bonds despite central bank interventions that are impacting spreads. Absolute value is hard to fund with the exception of orphan bonds, says GAM fixed income expert Haywood.
European sovereign debt, the Chinese slowdown and US fiscal cliff will contribute to a global recessionary outlook as smart money moves into MBS and high-yield/stressed US corporate credit in Q4.
Global macro funds are adapting to the reality of political uncertainty and market volatility driven by politicians, with a danger of compound short-term losses undermining medium or long-term gains.
A decline in carry and momentum returns is forcing FX hedge funds to rethink their strategies. Some question if currency managers can still deliver attractive returns in an era of low beta returns.
Hedge funds have long been fascinated with Japan’s large and growing public debt burden but shorting the country continues to be a losing proposition. Any Japan trade needs to be tightly hedged.
Technology can provide a competitive advantage in banking. How it is applied by Tier 1 and Tier 2 institutions, to the benefit for their risk management systems, is discussed.
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