Eurozone scenario analysis goes microscopic

Familiarity breeds content


When Risk first wrote about scenario analysis of the eurozone debt crisis in June 2010, banks were sketching out a variety of outcomes and then attaching rough market moves to them. The scenarios themselves were as dramatic as any being considered today – eurozone fragmentation in the form of either weak or strong countries exiting the union, the death of the single currency, a military coup in Greece, a decade of unrest across the continent – but the analysis now seems charmingly